Russian President Vladimir Putin's ongoing leadership, affirmed by his 2024 landslide re-election for a term extending to 2030 under constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially allow rule until 2036, drives the 89.5% "No" trader consensus on his exit by year-end. His April 11 announcement of an Easter ceasefire in the Ukraine war, alongside April 8 comments welcoming an Iran truce while urging resumed Ukraine talks, signals active command amid the four-year conflict. Early March health rumors—from a Kremlin-deleted video of coughing and a "haggard" image—were swiftly dismissed by officials, with no verified incapacity or elite challenges emerging. Barring sudden health events, coup attempts, or war reversals, structural and recent stability anchor high odds of continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$3,667,023 Vol.
$3,667,023 Vol.
$3,667,023 Vol.
$3,667,023 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Russian President Vladimir Putin's ongoing leadership, affirmed by his 2024 landslide re-election for a term extending to 2030 under constitutional amendments resetting term limits to potentially allow rule until 2036, drives the 89.5% "No" trader consensus on his exit by year-end. His April 11 announcement of an Easter ceasefire in the Ukraine war, alongside April 8 comments welcoming an Iran truce while urging resumed Ukraine talks, signals active command amid the four-year conflict. Early March health rumors—from a Kremlin-deleted video of coughing and a "haggard" image—were swiftly dismissed by officials, with no verified incapacity or elite challenges emerging. Barring sudden health events, coup attempts, or war reversals, structural and recent stability anchor high odds of continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions