Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% on a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, driven by the absence of a required 60-day ceasefire and stalled U.S.-brokered negotiations. Ukraine's electoral commission ruled in March 2026 that no fair vote can occur until six months post-ceasefire, defying earlier U.S. pressure for spring elections alongside a referendum on prospective peace terms. Russia's spring offensive launched late March further entrenched frontline stalemate, pausing talks amid distractions like the Iran conflict. Despite March polls showing 61% Ukrainian support for a compromise deal with EU membership by 2027, these structural barriers and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs leave significant hurdles, with no major de-escalation signals in the past 30 days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% on a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, driven by the absence of a required 60-day ceasefire and stalled U.S.-brokered negotiations. Ukraine's electoral commission ruled in March 2026 that no fair vote can occur until six months post-ceasefire, defying earlier U.S. pressure for spring elections alongside a referendum on prospective peace terms. Russia's spring offensive launched late March further entrenched frontline stalemate, pausing talks amid distractions like the Iran conflict. Despite March polls showing 61% Ukrainian support for a compromise deal with EU membership by 2027, these structural barriers and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs leave significant hurdles, with no major de-escalation signals in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$9,082End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% on a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, driven by the absence of a required 60-day ceasefire and stalled U.S.-brokered negotiations. Ukraine's electoral commission ruled in March 2026 that no fair vote can occur until six months post-ceasefire, defying earlier U.S. pressure for spring elections alongside a referendum on prospective peace terms. Russia's spring offensive launched late March further entrenched frontline stalemate, pausing talks amid distractions like the Iran conflict. Despite March polls showing 61% Ukrainian support for a compromise deal with EU membership by 2027, these structural barriers and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs leave significant hurdles, with no major de-escalation signals in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,082End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% on a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, driven by the absence of a required 60-day ceasefire and stalled U.S.-brokered negotiations. Ukraine's electoral commission ruled in March 2026 that no fair vote can occur until six months post-ceasefire, defying earlier U.S. pressure for spring elections alongside a referendum on prospective peace terms. Russia's spring offensive launched late March further entrenched frontline stalemate, pausing talks amid distractions like the Iran conflict. Despite March polls showing 61% Ukrainian support for a compromise deal with EU membership by 2027, these structural barriers and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs leave significant hurdles, with no major de-escalation signals in the past 30 days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions