Market icon

Most popular girl name 2025

Market icon

Most popular girl name 2025

Olivia 88.5%

Isabella 4.9%

Evelyn 3.9%

Amelia 3.3%

Polymarket

$323,176 Vol.

Olivia 88.5%

Isabella 4.9%

Evelyn 3.9%

Amelia 3.3%

Polymarket

$323,176 Vol.

Olivia

$200,614 Vol.

88%

Isabella

$12,736 Vol.

5%

Evelyn

$12,049 Vol.

4%

Amelia

$19,739 Vol.

3%

Sofia

$12,269 Vol.

3%

Emma

$12,492 Vol.

8%

Charlotte

$12,016 Vol.

2%

Mia

$16,457 Vol.

2%

Sophia

$12,909 Vol.

1%

Ava

$11,894 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Olivia's overwhelming 88.4% implied probability as the most popular girl name for 2025 stems from its unbroken streak as the Social Security Administration's (SSA) top girl name for six straight years, reconfirmed in the May 2025 release of 2024 data where it outpaced Emma and Amelia. BabyCenter's November 2025 rankings, drawing from millions of registered births, similarly crowned Olivia No. 1, with Amelia rising to second amid steady vintage-name trends fueled by cultural nostalgia and celebrity endorsements. Emma holds a solid 8.0% as the perennial runner-up, while Evelyn and Amelia linger lower due to lacking breakout momentum despite strong top-10 finishes. Trader consensus reflects this inertia, with low upset risk barring late-2025 birth surges; watch for SSA's official 2025 list in May 2026, when final tallies lock in.

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$323,176
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Olivia's overwhelming 88.4% implied probability as the most popular girl name for 2025 stems from its unbroken streak as the Social Security Administration's (SSA) top girl name for six straight years, reconfirmed in the May 2025 release of 2024 data where it outpaced Emma and Amelia. BabyCenter's November 2025 rankings, drawing from millions of registered births, similarly crowned Olivia No. 1, with Amelia rising to second amid steady vintage-name trends fueled by cultural nostalgia and celebrity endorsements. Emma holds a solid 8.0% as the perennial runner-up, while Evelyn and Amelia linger lower due to lacking breakout momentum despite strong top-10 finishes. Trader consensus reflects this inertia, with low upset risk barring late-2025 birth surges; watch for SSA's official 2025 list in May 2026, when final tallies lock in.

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$323,176
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Related

Market icon

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

87%
Market icon

Will Tyler, The Creator be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

29%
Market icon

Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

19%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Most popular girl name 2025" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olivia" at 88%, followed by "Emma" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Most popular girl name 2025" has generated $323.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Most popular girl name 2025," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Most popular girl name 2025" is "Olivia" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Emma" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Most popular girl name 2025" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.