Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tim Cook's departure as Apple CEO before year-end 2026 at a leading 27% implied probability, fueled by ongoing board succession planning amid scrutiny of his operational leadership in the artificial intelligence era, despite his March 17 GMA interview firmly dismissing retirement rumors and affirming deep commitment to the company. Sam Altman's 21% odds reflect OpenAI's history of board volatility, while Brian Armstrong's 18% ties to Coinbase's crypto market pressures; lower probabilities for Sundar Pichai (13%), Andy Jassy (14%), and Dan Clancy (10%) underscore stable tenures during AI pivots and platform restructurings at Google, Amazon, and Twitch. With $567K in volume, traders eye upcoming earnings calls and AI product announcements as potential catalysts for shifts through December 31 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$575,318 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
27%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
18%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
16%

Sundar Pichai - Google
13%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
13%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
6%
$575,318 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
27%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
18%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
16%

Sundar Pichai - Google
13%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
13%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
6%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tim Cook's departure as Apple CEO before year-end 2026 at a leading 27% implied probability, fueled by ongoing board succession planning amid scrutiny of his operational leadership in the artificial intelligence era, despite his March 17 GMA interview firmly dismissing retirement rumors and affirming deep commitment to the company. Sam Altman's 21% odds reflect OpenAI's history of board volatility, while Brian Armstrong's 18% ties to Coinbase's crypto market pressures; lower probabilities for Sundar Pichai (13%), Andy Jassy (14%), and Dan Clancy (10%) underscore stable tenures during AI pivots and platform restructurings at Google, Amazon, and Twitch. With $567K in volume, traders eye upcoming earnings calls and AI product announcements as potential catalysts for shifts through December 31 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions