Market icon
Economy·Culture

Number of TSA Passengers April 10?

Market icon
Economy·Culture

Number of TSA Passengers April 10?

Apr 10

Apr 10

2.6M-2.8M 76%

2.4M-2.6M 38%

>3.0M 8.5%

<2.2M <1%

Polymarket

$7,898 Vol.

2.6M-2.8M 76%

2.4M-2.6M 38%

>3.0M 8.5%

<2.2M <1%

Polymarket

$7,898 Vol.

<2.2M

$435 Vol.

17%

2.2M-2.4M

$428 Vol.

40%

2.4M-2.6M

$48 Vol.

23%

2.6M-2.8M

$6,431 Vol.

78%

2.8M-3.0M

$88 Vol.

45%

>3.0M

$468 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 10, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78.5% implied probability for April 10 TSA passenger throughput falling in the 2.6-2.8 million range, anchored by the April 9 print of 2.69 million— a sharp rebound from post-Easter lows of 2.21 million on April 7 and 2.28 million on April 8. Early April weekday averages hover near 2.72 million, buoyed by lingering spring break demand despite year-over-year declines of 7-9%, reflecting resilient consumer travel spending amid airline capacity constraints and reported security delays. The 45.5% odds on 2.8-3.0 million signal upside potential from holiday momentum, while lower bands like 2.2-2.4 million at 40% account for recent volatility; official data release expected by 9 a.m. ET today could catalyze shifts.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 10, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$7,898
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 10, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 10, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78.5% implied probability for April 10 TSA passenger throughput falling in the 2.6-2.8 million range, anchored by the April 9 print of 2.69 million— a sharp rebound from post-Easter lows of 2.21 million on April 7 and 2.28 million on April 8. Early April weekday averages hover near 2.72 million, buoyed by lingering spring break demand despite year-over-year declines of 7-9%, reflecting resilient consumer travel spending amid airline capacity constraints and reported security delays. The 45.5% odds on 2.8-3.0 million signal upside potential from holiday momentum, while lower bands like 2.2-2.4 million at 40% account for recent volatility; official data release expected by 9 a.m. ET today could catalyze shifts.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 10, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$7,898
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 10, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of TSA Passengers April 10?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2.6M-2.8M" at 78%, followed by "2.8M-3.0M" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of TSA Passengers April 10?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of TSA Passengers April 10?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of TSA Passengers April 10?" is "2.6M-2.8M" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2.8M-3.0M" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of TSA Passengers April 10?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.