Polymarket traders price a 91.2% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at its April 24 meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cuts—to 15.5% on February 13 and 15.0% on March 20—amid sustained disinflation, with March 2026 CPI holding at 5.9% annually versus the 4% target and forecasts of 4.5–5.5% for the year. Slowing GDP growth from 4.9% in 2024 to 1.0% in 2025 further supports easing to bolster activity, aligning with the monetary policy stance outlined in the April 1 key rate discussion summary. Realistic challenges include rising household inflation expectations to 13.4% in March or escalated fiscal risks and geopolitical tensions prompting a hold or hike.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Russia decision in April?
Bank of Russia decision in April?
Decrease 91.3%
No Change 8.4%
Increase <1%
$116,042 Vol.
$116,042 Vol.
Decrease
91%
No Change
8%
Increase
1%
Decrease 91.3%
No Change 8.4%
Increase <1%
$116,042 Vol.
$116,042 Vol.
Decrease
91%
No Change
8%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 91.2% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at its April 24 meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cuts—to 15.5% on February 13 and 15.0% on March 20—amid sustained disinflation, with March 2026 CPI holding at 5.9% annually versus the 4% target and forecasts of 4.5–5.5% for the year. Slowing GDP growth from 4.9% in 2024 to 1.0% in 2025 further supports easing to bolster activity, aligning with the monetary policy stance outlined in the April 1 key rate discussion summary. Realistic challenges include rising household inflation expectations to 13.4% in March or escalated fiscal risks and geopolitical tensions prompting a hold or hike.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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