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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 38.9%

Denmark 10.8%

France 10.5%

Australia 6.3%

Polymarket

$79,256,128 Vol.

Finland 38.9%

Denmark 10.8%

France 10.5%

Australia 6.3%

Polymarket

$79,256,128 Vol.

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Finland

$2,380,364 Vol.

39%

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Denmark

$1,229,666 Vol.

11%

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France

$1,713,523 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,472,818 Vol.

6%

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Greece

$1,631,469 Vol.

5%

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Israel

$1,492,544 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$1,200,527 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,834,107 Vol.

3%

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Romania

$1,215,781 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,415,823 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$1,032,628 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,312,888 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,632,336 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,384,694 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,358,765 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$1,411,430 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,388,980 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,908,948 Vol.

1%

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Lithuania

$2,559,100 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,802,211 Vol.

<1%

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Germany

$1,323,285 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$1,971,961 Vol.

<1%

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Switzerland

$2,899,014 Vol.

<1%

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United Kingdom

$1,282,233 Vol.

<1%

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Albania

$3,351,038 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$3,354,768 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$4,095,629 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$3,460,584 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$3,596,127 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$4,036,186 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$3,467,861 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$3,353,301 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$3,903,391 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$3,713,717 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$4,069,071 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" command a dominant 39% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by their commanding UMK national final victory in late February and sustained buzz from standout live performances blending powerhouse vocals, violin flair, and duo chemistry that appeals to both juries and televoters. Trader consensus reflects strong fan poll leads, like ESCXtra's April 6 scoreboard topping Denmark's "Før vi går hjem" and France's lyrical teen sensation Monroe, amid recent surges in wagers narrowing Finland's edge slightly. Semifinal running orders revealed April 2 place frontrunners favorably, but jury-televote splits and pre-party momentum at events like Eurovision in Concert could shift dynamics ahead of Vienna semis on May 12-14.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$79,256,128
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" command a dominant 39% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by their commanding UMK national final victory in late February and sustained buzz from standout live performances blending powerhouse vocals, violin flair, and duo chemistry that appeals to both juries and televoters. Trader consensus reflects strong fan poll leads, like ESCXtra's April 6 scoreboard topping Denmark's "Før vi går hjem" and France's lyrical teen sensation Monroe, amid recent surges in wagers narrowing Finland's edge slightly. Semifinal running orders revealed April 2 place frontrunners favorably, but jury-televote splits and pre-party momentum at events like Eurovision in Concert could shift dynamics ahead of Vienna semis on May 12-14.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$79,256,128
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 39%, followed by "Denmark" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $79.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denmark" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.