Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting (91.3% implied probability), reflecting the seventh consecutive 50 basis point cut to 15% on March 20 amid a slowing economy and disinflation trajectory. March 2026 CPI data released April 10 showed monthly inflation easing to 0.60% from 0.73% prior, with annual rates dipping to 5.86%, aligning with the central bank's 4.5–5.5% 2026 forecast and supporting further monetary easing to sustain balanced growth. This skin-in-the-game consensus holds despite pro-inflationary risks from Middle East tensions and elevated fiscal spending; hotter-than-expected CPI revisions or ruble weakness could prompt a pause, challenging the frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Russia decision in April?
Bank of Russia decision in April?
Decrease 91.3%
No Change 8.3%
Increase <1%
$115,977 Vol.
$115,977 Vol.
Decrease
91%
No Change
8%
Increase
1%
Decrease 91.3%
No Change 8.3%
Increase <1%
$115,977 Vol.
$115,977 Vol.
Decrease
91%
No Change
8%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting (91.3% implied probability), reflecting the seventh consecutive 50 basis point cut to 15% on March 20 amid a slowing economy and disinflation trajectory. March 2026 CPI data released April 10 showed monthly inflation easing to 0.60% from 0.73% prior, with annual rates dipping to 5.86%, aligning with the central bank's 4.5–5.5% 2026 forecast and supporting further monetary easing to sustain balanced growth. This skin-in-the-game consensus holds despite pro-inflationary risks from Middle East tensions and elevated fiscal spending; hotter-than-expected CPI revisions or ruble weakness could prompt a pause, challenging the frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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