A federal judge quashed DOJ subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13, ruling them pretextual amid a criminal probe into alleged mismanagement of the Fed's headquarters renovation costs exceeding $2 billion, initiated late 2025 under the Trump administration and led by Jeanine Pirro. President Trump has insisted the investigation continue despite backlash, while Senator Thom Tillis is blocking confirmation of Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair until the probe ends, complicating the transition before Powell's chair term expires May 15. Powell affirmed no intention to leave the Fed's Board of Governors, whose term runs to 2028, until the matter resolves. Warsh's Senate hearing is set for April 16, with DOJ appealing the ruling as trader focus centers on political pressures for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTrump drops Powell investigation by…?
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$10,268 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
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18%
June 30
71%
$10,268 Vol.
April 30
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June 30
$1,490 Vol.
71%
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge quashed DOJ subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13, ruling them pretextual amid a criminal probe into alleged mismanagement of the Fed's headquarters renovation costs exceeding $2 billion, initiated late 2025 under the Trump administration and led by Jeanine Pirro. President Trump has insisted the investigation continue despite backlash, while Senator Thom Tillis is blocking confirmation of Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair until the probe ends, complicating the transition before Powell's chair term expires May 15. Powell affirmed no intention to leave the Fed's Board of Governors, whose term runs to 2028, until the matter resolves. Warsh's Senate hearing is set for April 16, with DOJ appealing the ruling as trader focus centers on political pressures for resolution.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$10,268End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge quashed DOJ subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13, ruling them pretextual amid a criminal probe into alleged mismanagement of the Fed's headquarters renovation costs exceeding $2 billion, initiated late 2025 under the Trump administration and led by Jeanine Pirro. President Trump has insisted the investigation continue despite backlash, while Senator Thom Tillis is blocking confirmation of Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair until the probe ends, complicating the transition before Powell's chair term expires May 15. Powell affirmed no intention to leave the Fed's Board of Governors, whose term runs to 2028, until the matter resolves. Warsh's Senate hearing is set for April 16, with DOJ appealing the ruling as trader focus centers on political pressures for resolution.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,268End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge quashed DOJ subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13, ruling them pretextual amid a criminal probe into alleged mismanagement of the Fed's headquarters renovation costs exceeding $2 billion, initiated late 2025 under the Trump administration and led by Jeanine Pirro. President Trump has insisted the investigation continue despite backlash, while Senator Thom Tillis is blocking confirmation of Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair until the probe ends, complicating the transition before Powell's chair term expires May 15. Powell affirmed no intention to leave the Fed's Board of Governors, whose term runs to 2028, until the matter resolves. Warsh's Senate hearing is set for April 16, with DOJ appealing the ruling as trader focus centers on political pressures for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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