Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) in June, driven by a Reuters exclusive on April 7 reporting the company's detailed IPO roadmap, including an early June roadshow starting the week of June 8 following its confidential S-1 filing around April 1 at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation. This progression from late-March rumors to formalized plans has boosted sentiment for a mid-June listing, aligning with standard 8-12 week SEC review timelines amid strong Starlink revenue growth and xAI merger synergies. July's 17.2% odds reflect potential regulatory delays, while "No IPO before 2027" at 7% acknowledges execution risks ahead of pricing finalization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJune 66%
July 17.0%
No IPO before 2027 6.9%
August 4.7%
$198,853 Vol.
$198,853 Vol.
April
1%
May
3%
June
66%
July
17%
August
5%
September
4%
October
1%
November
2%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
7%
June 66%
July 17.0%
No IPO before 2027 6.9%
August 4.7%
$198,853 Vol.
$198,853 Vol.
April
1%
May
3%
June
66%
July
17%
August
5%
September
4%
October
1%
November
2%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
7%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) in June, driven by a Reuters exclusive on April 7 reporting the company's detailed IPO roadmap, including an early June roadshow starting the week of June 8 following its confidential S-1 filing around April 1 at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation. This progression from late-March rumors to formalized plans has boosted sentiment for a mid-June listing, aligning with standard 8-12 week SEC review timelines amid strong Starlink revenue growth and xAI merger synergies. July's 17.2% odds reflect potential regulatory delays, while "No IPO before 2027" at 7% acknowledges execution risks ahead of pricing finalization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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