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Sports·Golf

The Masters 2026: Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

The Masters 2026: Winner

Rory McIlroy 70%

Tommy Fleetwood 4.5%

Patrick Reed 4.4%

Justin Rose 3.5%

Polymarket

$108,290,852 Vol.

Rory McIlroy 70%

Tommy Fleetwood 4.5%

Patrick Reed 4.4%

Justin Rose 3.5%

Polymarket

$108,290,852 Vol.

Rory McIlroy

$1,836,354 Vol.

70%

Tommy Fleetwood

$1,039,759 Vol.

5%

Patrick Reed

$1,068,973 Vol.

4%

Justin Rose

$1,446,604 Vol.

3%

Sam Burns

$959,046 Vol.

3%

Cameron Young

$3,551,291 Vol.

3%

Shane Lowry

$7,196,007 Vol.

2%

Xander Schauffele

$9,304,161 Vol.

1%

Scottie Scheffler

$2,871,692 Vol.

1%

Brooks Koepka

$894,607 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$4,127,823 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,676,184 Vol.

1%

Chris Gotterup

$478,318 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$721,903 Vol.

1%

Hideki Matsuyama

$1,111,737 Vol.

1%

Jon Rahm

$1,657,286 Vol.

<1%

Hao-Tong Li

$477,726 Vol.

<1%

Kristoffer Reitan

$397,280 Vol.

<1%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$5,338,250 Vol.

<1%

Ben Griffin

$362,753 Vol.

<1%

Ludvig Aberg

$1,291,628 Vol.

<1%

Russell Henley

$1,158,403 Vol.

<1%

Max Homa

$817,722 Vol.

<1%

Collin Morikawa

$810,229 Vol.

<1%

Jake Knapp

$108,503 Vol.

<1%

Sungjae Im

$526,447 Vol.

<1%

Brian Harman

$601,427 Vol.

<1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$515,372 Vol.

<1%

Si Woo Kim

$439,478 Vol.

<1%

Harris English

$333,164 Vol.

<1%

Justin Thomas

$525,384 Vol.

<1%

Corey Conners

$571,921 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$752,339 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$797,740 Vol.

<1%

Gary Woodland

$991,107 Vol.

<1%

Sam Stevens

$313,625 Vol.

<1%

Viktor Hovland

$5,745,988 Vol.

<1%

Sepp Straka

$803,932 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$918,427 Vol.

<1%

Jacob Bridgeman

$380,459 Vol.

<1%

Marco Penge

$464,365 Vol.

<1%

Maverick McNealy

$468,810 Vol.

<1%

Kurt Kitayama

$540,939 Vol.

<1%

Nick Taylor

$442,782 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$573,442 Vol.

<1%

Adam Scott

$2,236,781 Vol.

<1%

Matt McCarty

$308,227 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Gerard

$397,027 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Spieth

$5,293,220 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Cantlay

$504,163 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$918,937 Vol.

<1%

Michael Brennan

$364,067 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Noren

$325,027 Vol.

<1%

Brian Campbell

$270,430 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defending champion Rory McIlroy commands trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability to repeat at the 2026 Masters after posting a record-breaking 36-hole total of 12-under par (67-65), seizing a six-shot lead—the largest halfway margin in tournament history—over challengers like Sam Burns and Patrick Reed at Augusta National. His dominant ball-striking and par-5 scoring, building on last year's playoff victory over Justin Rose that completed the career Grand Slam, propelled the world No. 2 past the field in Round 2 amid benign conditions, while Burns (co-leader after Round 1's 67) and 2018 winner Reed (early eagles on both par 5s) hold distant pursuit positions alongside Tommy Fleetwood and Justin Rose. Weekend volatility at the firm, speedy layout leaves room for historic charges, as no back-to-back green jackets have emerged since Tiger Woods in 2002.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$108,290,852
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defending champion Rory McIlroy commands trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability to repeat at the 2026 Masters after posting a record-breaking 36-hole total of 12-under par (67-65), seizing a six-shot lead—the largest halfway margin in tournament history—over challengers like Sam Burns and Patrick Reed at Augusta National. His dominant ball-striking and par-5 scoring, building on last year's playoff victory over Justin Rose that completed the career Grand Slam, propelled the world No. 2 past the field in Round 2 amid benign conditions, while Burns (co-leader after Round 1's 67) and 2018 winner Reed (early eagles on both par 5s) hold distant pursuit positions alongside Tommy Fleetwood and Justin Rose. Weekend volatility at the firm, speedy layout leaves room for historic charges, as no back-to-back green jackets have emerged since Tiger Woods in 2002.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$108,290,852
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will the 2026 Masters winner be a PGA Tour player?

54%
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Will Rory McIlroy be the best overall player from the PGA Tour in the 2026 Masters main tournament?

73%
Market icon

Will Rory McIlroy finish as leader after Round 3?

81%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Masters 2026: Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 94+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 70%, followed by "Tommy Fleetwood" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Masters 2026: Winner " has generated $108.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Masters 2026: Winner ," browse the 94+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Masters 2026: Winner " is "Rory McIlroy" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tommy Fleetwood" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Masters 2026: Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.