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Sports·Golf

The Masters 2026: Best PGA Player

Market icon
Sports·Golf

The Masters 2026: Best PGA Player

Rory McIlroy 73%

Justin Rose 48%

Sung-Jae Im 35%

Alexander Noren 35%

Polymarket
NEW

Rory McIlroy 73%

Justin Rose 48%

Sung-Jae Im 35%

Alexander Noren 35%

Polymarket
NEW

Rory McIlroy

$72 Vol.

73%

Justin Rose

$15 Vol.

48%

Sung-Jae Im

$59 Vol.

35%

Alexander Noren

$12 Vol.

35%

Michael Brennan

$12 Vol.

35%

Scottie Scheffler

$13 Vol.

35%

Patrick Reed

$58 Vol.

35%

Brian Campbell

$31 Vol.

24%

Si Woo Kim

$20 Vol.

1%

Gary Woodland

$20 Vol.

1%

Nick Taylor

$20 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$20 Vol.

1%

Matt McCarty

$20 Vol.

1%

Ryan Gerard

$20 Vol.

1%

Sam Stevens

$33 Vol.

1%

Hideki Matsuyama

$20 Vol.

1%

Collin Morikawa

$20 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$20 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$20 Vol.

1%

Viktor Hovland

$20 Vol.

1%

Brooks Koepka

$20 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$20 Vol.

1%

Kristoffer Reitan

$20 Vol.

1%

Aaron Rai

$20 Vol.

1%

Jake Knapp

$20 Vol.

1%

Ludvig Aberg

$20 Vol.

1%

Chris Gotterup

$20 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$10 Vol.

1%

Harris English

$5 Vol.

1%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$20 Vol.

1%

Tommy Fleetwood

$20 Vol.

1%

Ben Griffin

$20 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$20 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$20 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$20 Vol.

1%

Hao-Tong Li

$20 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$20 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$20 Vol.

1%

Marco Penge

$20 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$20 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$20 Vol.

1%

Kurt Kitayama

$20 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$20 Vol.

1%

Xander Schauffele

$20 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$20 Vol.

1%

Jordan Spieth

$20 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$20 Vol.

1%

Cameron Young

$20 Vol.

1%

Jacob Bridgeman

$36 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the player currently playing in the PGA that finishes the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 4. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a PGA leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Defending Masters champion Rory McIlroy commands a six-shot lead at 12-under after a record-setting 36-hole performance, including a stunning birdie binge on the back nine in round two, driving his 73% implied probability as traders bet on a repeat green jacket not seen since Tiger Woods in 2001-02. Closest challengers Sam Burns, Justin Rose, and Tommy Fleetwood sit tied second or third at six-under, fueling their 25% shares amid solid opening rounds and Augusta National course history—Rose as last year's playoff runner-up. A crowded field trails at 17.5%, viable for weekend surges if hot, dry conditions firm the greens and test McIlroy's lead, but the wisdom of crowds favors the frontrunner's momentum.

This market will resolve according to the player currently playing in the PGA that finishes the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 4. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a PGA leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$1,676
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player currently playing in the PGA that finishes the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 4. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a PGA leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
This market will resolve according to the player currently playing in the PGA that finishes the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 4. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a PGA leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Defending Masters champion Rory McIlroy commands a six-shot lead at 12-under after a record-setting 36-hole performance, including a stunning birdie binge on the back nine in round two, driving his 73% implied probability as traders bet on a repeat green jacket not seen since Tiger Woods in 2001-02. Closest challengers Sam Burns, Justin Rose, and Tommy Fleetwood sit tied second or third at six-under, fueling their 25% shares amid solid opening rounds and Augusta National course history—Rose as last year's playoff runner-up. A crowded field trails at 17.5%, viable for weekend surges if hot, dry conditions firm the greens and test McIlroy's lead, but the wisdom of crowds favors the frontrunner's momentum.

This market will resolve according to the player currently playing in the PGA that finishes the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 4. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a PGA leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$1,676
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player currently playing in the PGA that finishes the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 4. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a PGA leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).

Related

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Masters 2026: Best PGA Player" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 76+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 73%, followed by "Justin Rose" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"The Masters 2026: Best PGA Player" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "The Masters 2026: Best PGA Player," browse the 76+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Masters 2026: Best PGA Player" is "Rory McIlroy" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Rose" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Masters 2026: Best PGA Player" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.