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Sports·ATP

2026 Men's French Open Winner

Market icon
Sports·ATP

2026 Men's French Open Winner

Carlos Alcaraz 41%

Jannik Sinner 35%

Alexander Zverev 3.8%

Novak Djokovic 3.5%

Polymarket

$3,135,282 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 41%

Jannik Sinner 35%

Alexander Zverev 3.8%

Novak Djokovic 3.5%

Polymarket

$3,135,282 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$36,693 Vol.

41%

Jannik Sinner

$120,204 Vol.

35%

Alexander Zverev

$197,190 Vol.

4%

Novak Djokovic

$198,668 Vol.

3%

Arthur Fils

$60,736 Vol.

2%

Joao Fonseca

$679,301 Vol.

2%

Jack Draper

$98,797 Vol.

2%

Lorenzo Musetti

$746,514 Vol.

1%

Casper Ruud

$53,588 Vol.

1%

Daniil Medvedev

$95,588 Vol.

1%

Taylor Fritz

$15,147 Vol.

1%

Alex De Minaur

$18,826 Vol.

1%

Ben Shelton

$76,520 Vol.

1%

Francisco Cerundolo

$15,085 Vol.

1%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$32,506 Vol.

1%

Tommy Paul

$21,817 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$16,275 Vol.

1%

Jakub Mensik

$14,702 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$95,605 Vol.

1%

Learner Tien

$63,871 Vol.

1%

Sebastian Korda

$18,235 Vol.

<1%

Jiri Lehecka

$35,236 Vol.

<1%

Denis Shapovalov

$30,919 Vol.

<1%

Tomas Machac

$14,231 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Bublik

$15,674 Vol.

<1%

Alejandro Tabilo

$16,992 Vol.

<1%

Cameron Norrie

$40,065 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$14,448 Vol.

<1%

Flavio Cobolli

$27,711 Vol.

<1%

Alexei Popyrin

$20,181 Vol.

<1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$46,956 Vol.

<1%

Karen Khachanov

$12,836 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$36,538 Vol.

<1%

Marin Cilic

$13,335 Vol.

<1%

Alex Michelsen

$13,805 Vol.

<1%

Jan-Lennard Struff

$19,028 Vol.

<1%

Ugo Humbert

$49,727 Vol.

<1%

Reilly Opelka

$11,004 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$12,744 Vol.

<1%

Frances Tiafoe

$28,162 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner dominate trader consensus at 41% and 34.5% implied probabilities for the 2026 French Open title, reflecting their commanding early clay-court form at the ongoing Monte-Carlo Masters, where both secured quarterfinal spots with straight-set wins—Alcaraz dismantling opponents like Sebastian Baez amid a 14-match clay win streak, and Sinner powering past Felix Auger-Aliassime. This tight race stems from Alcaraz's superior Roland Garros history as a two-time champion with explosive variety suiting slow red dirt, versus Sinner's baseline precision and world No. 1 consistency, though his quarterfinal path includes tougher clay specialists like Alexander Zverev. Djokovic and Zverev trail at sub-4% due to recent inconsistencies and injury concerns, keeping the duo's duel pivotal ahead of Madrid and Rome.

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,135,282
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner dominate trader consensus at 41% and 34.5% implied probabilities for the 2026 French Open title, reflecting their commanding early clay-court form at the ongoing Monte-Carlo Masters, where both secured quarterfinal spots with straight-set wins—Alcaraz dismantling opponents like Sebastian Baez amid a 14-match clay win streak, and Sinner powering past Felix Auger-Aliassime. This tight race stems from Alcaraz's superior Roland Garros history as a two-time champion with explosive variety suiting slow red dirt, versus Sinner's baseline precision and world No. 1 consistency, though his quarterfinal path includes tougher clay specialists like Alexander Zverev. Djokovic and Zverev trail at sub-4% due to recent inconsistencies and injury concerns, keeping the duo's duel pivotal ahead of Madrid and Rome.

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,135,282
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men's French Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 41%, followed by "Jannik Sinner" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men's French Open Winner" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men's French Open Winner," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men's French Open Winner" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men's French Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.