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Sports·Golf

The Masters 2026: Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

The Masters 2026: Winner

Rory McIlroy 70%

Patrick Reed 4.8%

Tommy Fleetwood 4.5%

Justin Rose 3.7%

Polymarket

$108,245,818 Vol.

Rory McIlroy 70%

Patrick Reed 4.8%

Tommy Fleetwood 4.5%

Justin Rose 3.7%

Polymarket

$108,245,818 Vol.

Rory McIlroy

$1,830,858 Vol.

70%

Patrick Reed

$1,068,321 Vol.

5%

Tommy Fleetwood

$1,037,614 Vol.

4%

Justin Rose

$1,445,764 Vol.

4%

Sam Burns

$957,500 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$3,551,237 Vol.

3%

Shane Lowry

$7,195,336 Vol.

2%

Xander Schauffele

$9,303,418 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,675,933 Vol.

1%

Scottie Scheffler

$2,871,500 Vol.

1%

Brooks Koepka

$894,517 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$4,127,822 Vol.

1%

Jon Rahm

$1,656,134 Vol.

1%

Hideki Matsuyama

$1,111,631 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$720,424 Vol.

1%

Chris Gotterup

$478,306 Vol.

1%

Hao-Tong Li

$477,726 Vol.

<1%

Kristoffer Reitan

$397,278 Vol.

<1%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$5,337,795 Vol.

<1%

Ben Griffin

$362,562 Vol.

<1%

Ludvig Aberg

$1,291,152 Vol.

<1%

Russell Henley

$1,158,298 Vol.

<1%

Max Homa

$817,722 Vol.

<1%

Collin Morikawa

$810,168 Vol.

<1%

Jake Knapp

$108,503 Vol.

<1%

Sungjae Im

$526,447 Vol.

<1%

Brian Harman

$601,427 Vol.

<1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$515,372 Vol.

<1%

Si Woo Kim

$439,478 Vol.

<1%

Harris English

$333,164 Vol.

<1%

Justin Thomas

$525,384 Vol.

<1%

Corey Conners

$571,921 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$752,339 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$797,740 Vol.

<1%

Gary Woodland

$991,102 Vol.

<1%

Sam Stevens

$313,625 Vol.

<1%

Viktor Hovland

$5,745,988 Vol.

<1%

Sepp Straka

$803,932 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$918,427 Vol.

<1%

Jacob Bridgeman

$380,459 Vol.

<1%

Marco Penge

$464,365 Vol.

<1%

Maverick McNealy

$468,810 Vol.

<1%

Kurt Kitayama

$540,939 Vol.

<1%

Nick Taylor

$442,782 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$573,442 Vol.

<1%

Adam Scott

$2,236,781 Vol.

<1%

Matt McCarty

$308,227 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Gerard

$397,027 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Spieth

$5,293,211 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Cantlay

$504,163 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$918,937 Vol.

<1%

Michael Brennan

$364,067 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Noren

$325,027 Vol.

<1%

Brian Campbell

$270,430 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defending champion Rory McIlroy commands trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability after firing a brilliant 7-under 65 in round two at Augusta National, surging to 12-under for the largest 36-hole lead in Masters history—six shots clear of challengers Sam Burns and Patrick Reed. The Northern Irishman's title defense builds on his 2025 playoff victory over Justin Rose that completed his career Grand Slam, bolstered by sharp iron play and six birdies Friday amid firm conditions. Reed's steady 3-under rounds with eagles on par-5s, Tommy Fleetwood's strong -5 total, and Justin Rose's course history keep them viable at 4.8%, 4.5%, and 3.7%, but McIlroy's momentum and weekend positioning at the year's first major dominate sentiment entering moving day.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$108,245,818
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defending champion Rory McIlroy commands trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability after firing a brilliant 7-under 65 in round two at Augusta National, surging to 12-under for the largest 36-hole lead in Masters history—six shots clear of challengers Sam Burns and Patrick Reed. The Northern Irishman's title defense builds on his 2025 playoff victory over Justin Rose that completed his career Grand Slam, bolstered by sharp iron play and six birdies Friday amid firm conditions. Reed's steady 3-under rounds with eagles on par-5s, Tommy Fleetwood's strong -5 total, and Justin Rose's course history keep them viable at 4.8%, 4.5%, and 3.7%, but McIlroy's momentum and weekend positioning at the year's first major dominate sentiment entering moving day.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$108,245,818
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will the 2026 Masters winner be a PGA Tour player?

52%
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Will Rory McIlroy be the best overall player from the PGA Tour in the 2026 Masters main tournament?

73%
Market icon

Will Rory McIlroy finish as leader after Round 3?

81%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Masters 2026: Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 94+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 70%, followed by "Patrick Reed" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Masters 2026: Winner " has generated $108.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Masters 2026: Winner ," browse the 94+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Masters 2026: Winner " is "Rory McIlroy" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrick Reed" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Masters 2026: Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.