Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April, at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) records of minimal rainfall accumulation through the first 10 days—limited to light spring showers like those on April 9—amid persistent dry air advisories and a cold snap through early April. High-pressure systems have dominated, suppressing moisture transport from the East Sea and aligning with seasonal forecasts projecting below the historical April average of around 80mm. Model consensus from KMA short-range outlooks shows subdued rain probabilities for the remaining 20 days, though occasional fronts could add 10-20mm; watch daily KMA updates for shifts in frontal activity or jet stream patterns that might elevate totals toward 55-70mm clusters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
<40mm 28%
55-60mm 14%
75mm+ 12%
45-50mm 10.2%
$11,703 Vol.
$11,703 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<40mm
37%
40-45mm
4%
45-50mm
16%
50-55mm
8%
55-60mm
20%
60-65mm
8%
65-70mm
16%
70-75mm
5%
75mm+
10%
<40mm 28%
55-60mm 14%
75mm+ 12%
45-50mm 10.2%
$11,703 Vol.
$11,703 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<40mm
$8,758 Vol.
37%
40-45mm
$137 Vol.
4%
45-50mm
$168 Vol.
16%
50-55mm
$1,631 Vol.
8%
55-60mm
$152 Vol.
20%
60-65mm
$107 Vol.
8%
65-70mm
$248 Vol.
16%
70-75mm
$110 Vol.
5%
75mm+
$393 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April, at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) records of minimal rainfall accumulation through the first 10 days—limited to light spring showers like those on April 9—amid persistent dry air advisories and a cold snap through early April. High-pressure systems have dominated, suppressing moisture transport from the East Sea and aligning with seasonal forecasts projecting below the historical April average of around 80mm. Model consensus from KMA short-range outlooks shows subdued rain probabilities for the remaining 20 days, though occasional fronts could add 10-20mm; watch daily KMA updates for shifts in frontal activity or jet stream patterns that might elevate totals toward 55-70mm clusters.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$11,703End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April, at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) records of minimal rainfall accumulation through the first 10 days—limited to light spring showers like those on April 9—amid persistent dry air advisories and a cold snap through early April. High-pressure systems have dominated, suppressing moisture transport from the East Sea and aligning with seasonal forecasts projecting below the historical April average of around 80mm. Model consensus from KMA short-range outlooks shows subdued rain probabilities for the remaining 20 days, though occasional fronts could add 10-20mm; watch daily KMA updates for shifts in frontal activity or jet stream patterns that might elevate totals toward 55-70mm clusters.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,703End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April, at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) records of minimal rainfall accumulation through the first 10 days—limited to light spring showers like those on April 9—amid persistent dry air advisories and a cold snap through early April. High-pressure systems have dominated, suppressing moisture transport from the East Sea and aligning with seasonal forecasts projecting below the historical April average of around 80mm. Model consensus from KMA short-range outlooks shows subdued rain probabilities for the remaining 20 days, though occasional fronts could add 10-20mm; watch daily KMA updates for shifts in frontal activity or jet stream patterns that might elevate totals toward 55-70mm clusters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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