FlightAware data confirming fewer than 6,000 total U.S. flight delays on March 29 has locked in trader consensus at 100% for the under-6,000 outcome, reflecting favorable nationwide weather, no major FAA ground delay programs, and efficient National Airspace System operations—contrasting sharply with March 27's over 3,000 delays and March 28's DC-area ground stops amid ongoing TSA staffing strains from the partial government shutdown. Low cancellations at just 223 further underscored the calm day. With preliminary figures now final and matching resolution criteria, upset scenarios are remote, limited to rare data revisions or disputes over FlightAware's methodology by official sources like BTS.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
6,500-7,000
<1%
6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
6,500-7,000
<1%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
FlightAware data confirming fewer than 6,000 total U.S. flight delays on March 29 has locked in trader consensus at 100% for the under-6,000 outcome, reflecting favorable nationwide weather, no major FAA ground delay programs, and efficient National Airspace System operations—contrasting sharply with March 27's over 3,000 delays and March 28's DC-area ground stops amid ongoing TSA staffing strains from the partial government shutdown. Low cancellations at just 223 further underscored the calm day. With preliminary figures now final and matching resolution criteria, upset scenarios are remote, limited to rare data revisions or disputes over FlightAware's methodology by official sources like BTS.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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