The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations bills tied to immigration enforcement reforms, affecting non-essential operations while essential functions like TSA screening continue via executive orders for back pay. In the past 24 hours, DHS directed all furloughed staff to return to work on their next scheduled shift—Monday for most—despite the funding lapse, underscoring operational continuity amid disruptions like airport delays. House Republicans, post-recess, are advancing a funding bill after Senate passage of a partial measure excluding ICE and CBP in late March, but mutual procedural blocks have prolonged the standoff now exceeding 55 days. Traders weigh resolution hinging on imminent House floor votes or further negotiations before potential escalation to broader shutdown risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow long will the DHS shutdown last?
How long will the DHS shutdown last?
$1,393,289 Vol.
$1,393,289 Vol.
Mar 14, 2026
60+ days
97%
70+ days
70%
80+ days
55%
90+ days
32%
$1,393,289 Vol.
$1,393,289 Vol.
Mar 14, 2026
60+ days
$354,936 Vol.
97%
70+ days
$22,404 Vol.
70%
80+ days
$24,856 Vol.
55%
90+ days
$26,212 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations bills tied to immigration enforcement reforms, affecting non-essential operations while essential functions like TSA screening continue via executive orders for back pay. In the past 24 hours, DHS directed all furloughed staff to return to work on their next scheduled shift—Monday for most—despite the funding lapse, underscoring operational continuity amid disruptions like airport delays. House Republicans, post-recess, are advancing a funding bill after Senate passage of a partial measure excluding ICE and CBP in late March, but mutual procedural blocks have prolonged the standoff now exceeding 55 days. Traders weigh resolution hinging on imminent House floor votes or further negotiations before potential escalation to broader shutdown risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 16, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,393,289End Date
Mar 14, 2026Market Opened
Feb 16, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations bills tied to immigration enforcement reforms, affecting non-essential operations while essential functions like TSA screening continue via executive orders for back pay. In the past 24 hours, DHS directed all furloughed staff to return to work on their next scheduled shift—Monday for most—despite the funding lapse, underscoring operational continuity amid disruptions like airport delays. House Republicans, post-recess, are advancing a funding bill after Senate passage of a partial measure excluding ICE and CBP in late March, but mutual procedural blocks have prolonged the standoff now exceeding 55 days. Traders weigh resolution hinging on imminent House floor votes or further negotiations before potential escalation to broader shutdown risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,393,289End Date
Mar 14, 2026Market Opened
Feb 16, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations bills tied to immigration enforcement reforms, affecting non-essential operations while essential functions like TSA screening continue via executive orders for back pay. In the past 24 hours, DHS directed all furloughed staff to return to work on their next scheduled shift—Monday for most—despite the funding lapse, underscoring operational continuity amid disruptions like airport delays. House Republicans, post-recess, are advancing a funding bill after Senate passage of a partial measure excluding ICE and CBP in late March, but mutual procedural blocks have prolonged the standoff now exceeding 55 days. Traders weigh resolution hinging on imminent House floor votes or further negotiations before potential escalation to broader shutdown risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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