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Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

Market icon
Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

George Russell 44%

Kimi Antonelli 29.8%

Charles Leclerc 7.4%

Oscar Piastri 4.8%

Polymarket

$94,101,002 Vol.

George Russell 44%

Kimi Antonelli 29.8%

Charles Leclerc 7.4%

Oscar Piastri 4.8%

Polymarket

$94,101,002 Vol.

George Russell

$1,447,813 Vol.

44%

Kimi Antonelli

$2,627,447 Vol.

30%

Charles Leclerc

$2,349,115 Vol.

7%

Oscar Piastri

$1,309,929 Vol.

5%

Lewis Hamilton

$2,976,943 Vol.

3%

Max Verstappen

$1,274,600 Vol.

3%

Lando Norris

$1,513,323 Vol.

2%

Isack Hadjar

$3,932,044 Vol.

1%

Fernando Alonso

$4,479,830 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$4,448,436 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$3,903,206 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$5,907,301 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$6,086,438 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$5,004,556 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$5,035,825 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$5,032,025 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$6,175,541 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$5,785,997 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$6,234,061 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$7,482,613 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$5,230,275 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$5,868,922 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes' George Russell and Kimi Antonelli lead the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings after three Grands Prix, with Antonelli atop at 72 points from wins in China and Japan, and Russell close at 63 points via his Australian GP victory and consistent podiums. Trader consensus prices Russell as the frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability, buoyed by his experience and racecraft in the Brackley squad's dominant new-era package—excelling in energy deployment and chassis balance under 2026 power unit regulations—while Antonelli's 29.8% reflects rookie poise but potential intra-team pressure. Red Bull's balance woes have hampered Max Verstappen to ninth, sidelining prior favorites, as Ferrari trails with Leclerc third; Japan's March 29 Antonelli triumph widened his edge, yet Russell's reliability sustains market favoritism amid Mercedes' early hegemony.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$94,101,002
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes' George Russell and Kimi Antonelli lead the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings after three Grands Prix, with Antonelli atop at 72 points from wins in China and Japan, and Russell close at 63 points via his Australian GP victory and consistent podiums. Trader consensus prices Russell as the frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability, buoyed by his experience and racecraft in the Brackley squad's dominant new-era package—excelling in energy deployment and chassis balance under 2026 power unit regulations—while Antonelli's 29.8% reflects rookie poise but potential intra-team pressure. Red Bull's balance woes have hampered Max Verstappen to ninth, sidelining prior favorites, as Ferrari trails with Leclerc third; Japan's March 29 Antonelli triumph widened his edge, yet Russell's reliability sustains market favoritism amid Mercedes' early hegemony.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$94,101,002
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 44%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $94.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "George Russell" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.