Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race for the 2026 FIA Action of the Year award, with Max Verstappen's implied 32.5% probability narrowly ahead of Lewis Hamilton (29.5%) and Kimi Antonelli (29.0%), driven by the early-season explosion of overtakes—120 in Australia alone—under new active aero and battery deployment rules that enable aggressive passing but yield no singular viral moment yet. Verstappen's edge stems from his pedigree, including the 2025 Imola triumph over Piastri and recent bold maneuvers, while Hamilton's Ferrari intra-team battles with Leclerc in Shanghai and recovery drives impress; Antonelli's masterful end-race moves securing pole-to-win victories in China and Japan at Suzuka fuel his surge as the teenage championship leader. Rookies like Bearman and Colapinto linger as upset threats amid Mercedes dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 29%
Max Verstappen 25%
Lewis Hamilton 20%
Valtteri Bottas 17.8%
Kimi Antonelli
29%
Max Verstappen
33%
Lewis Hamilton
30%
Valtteri Bottas
18%
Charles Leclerc
14%
George Russell
14%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lando Norris
9%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
15%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
15%
Nico Hulkenberg
18%
Liam Lawson
10%
Esteban Ocon
18%
Sergio Perez
18%
Lance Stroll
18%
Kimi Antonelli 29%
Max Verstappen 25%
Lewis Hamilton 20%
Valtteri Bottas 17.8%
Kimi Antonelli
29%
Max Verstappen
33%
Lewis Hamilton
30%
Valtteri Bottas
18%
Charles Leclerc
14%
George Russell
14%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Lando Norris
9%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
15%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
15%
Nico Hulkenberg
18%
Liam Lawson
10%
Esteban Ocon
18%
Sergio Perez
18%
Lance Stroll
18%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race for the 2026 FIA Action of the Year award, with Max Verstappen's implied 32.5% probability narrowly ahead of Lewis Hamilton (29.5%) and Kimi Antonelli (29.0%), driven by the early-season explosion of overtakes—120 in Australia alone—under new active aero and battery deployment rules that enable aggressive passing but yield no singular viral moment yet. Verstappen's edge stems from his pedigree, including the 2025 Imola triumph over Piastri and recent bold maneuvers, while Hamilton's Ferrari intra-team battles with Leclerc in Shanghai and recovery drives impress; Antonelli's masterful end-race moves securing pole-to-win victories in China and Japan at Suzuka fuel his surge as the teenage championship leader. Rookies like Bearman and Colapinto linger as upset threats amid Mercedes dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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