President Trump directed Department of Defense and intelligence agencies on February 20, 2026, to prepare and release files on unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), UFOs, and potential extraterrestrial life, spurred by public interest and his comments on former President Obama's remarks about aliens. No new declassifications have occurred as of early April, with reports highlighting bureaucratic delays in interagency coordination despite the executive directive. Traders weigh historical precedents of slow government disclosures against Trump's first-term partial UAP releases and ongoing congressional pushes for transparency via task forces. Upcoming agency compliance deadlines and potential congressional hearings could accelerate releases later in 2026, amid a recent Pentagon study finding no evidence of extraterrestrial origins in UAP sightings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$195,224 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
April 30
15%
December 31
73%
$195,224 Vol.
April 30
$44,509 Vol.
15%
December 31
$26,181 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump directed Department of Defense and intelligence agencies on February 20, 2026, to prepare and release files on unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), UFOs, and potential extraterrestrial life, spurred by public interest and his comments on former President Obama's remarks about aliens. No new declassifications have occurred as of early April, with reports highlighting bureaucratic delays in interagency coordination despite the executive directive. Traders weigh historical precedents of slow government disclosures against Trump's first-term partial UAP releases and ongoing congressional pushes for transparency via task forces. Upcoming agency compliance deadlines and potential congressional hearings could accelerate releases later in 2026, amid a recent Pentagon study finding no evidence of extraterrestrial origins in UAP sightings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Volume
$195,224End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump directed Department of Defense and intelligence agencies on February 20, 2026, to prepare and release files on unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), UFOs, and potential extraterrestrial life, spurred by public interest and his comments on former President Obama's remarks about aliens. No new declassifications have occurred as of early April, with reports highlighting bureaucratic delays in interagency coordination despite the executive directive. Traders weigh historical precedents of slow government disclosures against Trump's first-term partial UAP releases and ongoing congressional pushes for transparency via task forces. Upcoming agency compliance deadlines and potential congressional hearings could accelerate releases later in 2026, amid a recent Pentagon study finding no evidence of extraterrestrial origins in UAP sightings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$195,224End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump directed Department of Defense and intelligence agencies on February 20, 2026, to prepare and release files on unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), UFOs, and potential extraterrestrial life, spurred by public interest and his comments on former President Obama's remarks about aliens. No new declassifications have occurred as of early April, with reports highlighting bureaucratic delays in interagency coordination despite the executive directive. Traders weigh historical precedents of slow government disclosures against Trump's first-term partial UAP releases and ongoing congressional pushes for transparency via task forces. Upcoming agency compliance deadlines and potential congressional hearings could accelerate releases later in 2026, amid a recent Pentagon study finding no evidence of extraterrestrial origins in UAP sightings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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