Market icon

NBA Most Improved Player Winner

Market icon

NBA Most Improved Player Winner

Nickeil Alexander-Walker 92%

Deni Avdija 4.0%

Jalen Duren 2.6%

Ryan Rollins <1%

Polymarket

$347,385 Vol.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker 92%

Deni Avdija 4.0%

Jalen Duren 2.6%

Ryan Rollins <1%

Polymarket

$347,385 Vol.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

$12,775 Vol.

92%

Deni Avdija

$127,914 Vol.

4%

Jalen Duren

$24,832 Vol.

3%

Ryan Rollins

$12,882 Vol.

1%

Jalen Johnson

$17,408 Vol.

1%

Andrew Nembhard

$28,551 Vol.

<1%

Amen Thompson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ausar Thompson

$9,330 Vol.

<1%

Michael Porter Jr.

$8,774 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Porter

$5,969 Vol.

<1%

Scoot Henderson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jaden Ivey

$0 Vol.

<1%

Gradey Dick

$0 Vol.

<1%

Alperen Sengun

$8,753 Vol.

<1%

Josh Giddey

$0 Vol.

<1%

Shaedon Sharpe

$6,397 Vol.

<1%

Nikola Jovic

$8,066 Vol.

<1%

Reed Sheppard

$11,045 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Miller

$0 Vol.

<1%

Chet Holmgren

$0 Vol.

<1%

Trey Murphy III

$0 Vol.

<1%

Carlton Carrington

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan Kuminga

$0 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Hendricks

$7,626 Vol.

<1%

Bennedict Mathurin

$10,395 Vol.

<1%

Matas Buzelis

$0 Vol.

<1%

Derrick White

$5,187 Vol.

<1%

Payton Pritchard

$6,013 Vol.

<1%

Victor Wembanyama

$25,870 Vol.

<1%

Cam Whitmore

$5,529 Vol.

<1%

Jay Huff

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Filipowski

$4,069 Vol.

<1%

Kel'el Ware

$0 Vol.

<1%

Keyonte George

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Atlanta Hawks guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker commands 91.5% trader consensus for NBA Most Improved Player after exploding from 9.4 PPG last season to 20.8 PPG, 3.7 APG, 1.3 SPG and elite 45/39/90 shooting splits this year, fueling a breakout as a starting two-way wing on a 42-33 Hawks squad. Recent endorsements like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's public backing and NBA.com's April 2 highlight of his +8.7 efficiency leap over peers solidify his frontrunner status among skin-in-the-game bettors. Challengers like Deni Avdija (4%) and Jalen Duren (2.6%) trail with solid gains in usage and rebounding, but NAW's raw scoring surge dominates sentiment; upset risks include voter bias toward big men or late-season voter recency from playoff contenders.

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$347,385
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 22, 2025, 1:35 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Atlanta Hawks guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker commands 91.5% trader consensus for NBA Most Improved Player after exploding from 9.4 PPG last season to 20.8 PPG, 3.7 APG, 1.3 SPG and elite 45/39/90 shooting splits this year, fueling a breakout as a starting two-way wing on a 42-33 Hawks squad. Recent endorsements like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's public backing and NBA.com's April 2 highlight of his +8.7 efficiency leap over peers solidify his frontrunner status among skin-in-the-game bettors. Challengers like Deni Avdija (4%) and Jalen Duren (2.6%) trail with solid gains in usage and rebounding, but NAW's raw scoring surge dominates sentiment; upset risks include voter bias toward big men or late-season voter recency from playoff contenders.

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$347,385
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 22, 2025, 1:35 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Most Improved Player Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nickeil Alexander-Walker" at 92%, followed by "Deni Avdija" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA Most Improved Player Winner" has generated $347.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA Most Improved Player Winner," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Most Improved Player Winner" is "Nickeil Alexander-Walker" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Deni Avdija" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Most Improved Player Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.