Market icon
Sports·NCAA CBB

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

Market icon
Sports·NCAA CBB

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

AJ Dybantsa 76%

Darryn Peterson 32%

Cameron Boozer 1.2%

Jayden Quaintance <1%

Polymarket

$14,064 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa 76%

Darryn Peterson 32%

Cameron Boozer 1.2%

Jayden Quaintance <1%

Polymarket

$14,064 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa

$4,343 Vol.

71%

Darryn Peterson

$3,367 Vol.

22%

Cameron Boozer

$1,429 Vol.

8%

Jayden Quaintance

$884 Vol.

<1%

Koa Peat

$855 Vol.

<1%

Mikel Brown Jr.

$991 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Wilson

$767 Vol.

<1%

Tounde Yessoufou

$707 Vol.

<1%

Nate Ament

$722 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.BYU freshman AJ Dybantsa has surged to the top of 2026 NBA Draft big boards, including ESPN's latest update, after a dominant season leading the nation in scoring at 25.3 PPG, dropping 40 points in the Big 12 Tournament to break freshman records, and earning All-America First Team honors despite BYU's March Madness exit. This consistency has elevated trader consensus to 71% implied probability for the No. 1 overall pick, vaulting him past Kansas' Darryn Peterson (22%), whose stock dipped amid cramping concerns in a strong but inconsistent freshman campaign. Duke's Cameron Boozer (7.9%) rounds out the podium with historic production, but lottery odds favor teams likely targeting Dybantsa's elite scoring and upside, reflecting scout separation at the top.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$14,064
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.BYU freshman AJ Dybantsa has surged to the top of 2026 NBA Draft big boards, including ESPN's latest update, after a dominant season leading the nation in scoring at 25.3 PPG, dropping 40 points in the Big 12 Tournament to break freshman records, and earning All-America First Team honors despite BYU's March Madness exit. This consistency has elevated trader consensus to 71% implied probability for the No. 1 overall pick, vaulting him past Kansas' Darryn Peterson (22%), whose stock dipped amid cramping concerns in a strong but inconsistent freshman campaign. Duke's Cameron Boozer (7.9%) rounds out the podium with historic production, but lottery odds favor teams likely targeting Dybantsa's elite scoring and upside, reflecting scout separation at the top.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$14,064
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AJ Dybantsa" at 71%, followed by "Darryn Peterson" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is "AJ Dybantsa" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Darryn Peterson" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.