Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 77% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their elite talent pool including Endrick and a deep attacking lineup under Carlo Ancelotti, bolstered by a strong 3-1 friendly victory over Croatia on March 31 following a narrow loss to France. Morocco holds 19.5% as the clear second choice, reflecting their defensive resilience and eighth-place FIFA ranking since the 2022 semifinal run, though recent injury concerns for a key Lion and coaching transitions under Mohamed Ouahbi temper expectations against Brazil's opener. Scotland's 4.5% underscores organized defending in March warmups but faces steep odds against superior firepower, while Haiti's 0.3% highlights their historic qualification amid funding boosts yet glaring talent gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 20%
Scotland 4.5%
Haiti <1%
$83,873 Vol.
$83,873 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
20%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 20%
Scotland 4.5%
Haiti <1%
$83,873 Vol.
$83,873 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
20%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 77% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their elite talent pool including Endrick and a deep attacking lineup under Carlo Ancelotti, bolstered by a strong 3-1 friendly victory over Croatia on March 31 following a narrow loss to France. Morocco holds 19.5% as the clear second choice, reflecting their defensive resilience and eighth-place FIFA ranking since the 2022 semifinal run, though recent injury concerns for a key Lion and coaching transitions under Mohamed Ouahbi temper expectations against Brazil's opener. Scotland's 4.5% underscores organized defending in March warmups but faces steep odds against superior firepower, while Haiti's 0.3% highlights their historic qualification amid funding boosts yet glaring talent gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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