Market icon
Finance·AMZN

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of April?

Market icon
Finance·AMZN

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of April?

4:00PM Apr 30

4:00PM Apr 30

$11,425 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$11,425 Vol.

Polymarket

$150

$4,508 Vol.

93%

$160

$3 Vol.

90%

$170

$3 Vol.

90%

$180

$150 Vol.

91%

$190

$3,970 Vol.

94%

$200

$229 Vol.

87%

$210

$1,356 Vol.

88%

$220

$6 Vol.

74%

$230

$20 Vol.

69%

$240

$404 Vol.

43%

$250

$37 Vol.

34%

$260

$279 Vol.

10%

$270

$461 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Amazon's share price has rallied nearly 15% month-to-date to around $238 as of April 11, 2026, driven by accelerating AWS revenue growth—projected at 27% year-over-year, the strongest since 2022—and robust advertising margins near 60-70%, offsetting high AI-related capital expenditures. Trader consensus reflects optimism on Amazon's custom Trainium chips enhancing AI infrastructure efficiency and stakes in Anthropic and OpenAI bolstering long-term cloud dominance, with analyst price targets averaging $280-$287 implying upside potential. Key risks include free cash flow pressures from $200 billion CapEx plans, though institutional buying signals confidence. Q1 earnings on or around April 30 will be pivotal, potentially swaying the end-of-month close amid broader market volatility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$11,425
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Amazon's share price has rallied nearly 15% month-to-date to around $238 as of April 11, 2026, driven by accelerating AWS revenue growth—projected at 27% year-over-year, the strongest since 2022—and robust advertising margins near 60-70%, offsetting high AI-related capital expenditures. Trader consensus reflects optimism on Amazon's custom Trainium chips enhancing AI infrastructure efficiency and stakes in Anthropic and OpenAI bolstering long-term cloud dominance, with analyst price targets averaging $280-$287 implying upside potential. Key risks include free cash flow pressures from $200 billion CapEx plans, though institutional buying signals confidence. Q1 earnings on or around April 30 will be pivotal, potentially swaying the end-of-month close amid broader market volatility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$11,425
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$190" at 94%, followed by "$150" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of April?" has generated $11.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of April?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of April?" is "$190" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$150" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.