Market icon
Sports·Esports

Will s1mple retire by June 30?

Market icon
Sports·Esports

Will s1mple retire by June 30?

12% chance
Polymarket
NEW
12% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 87.9% implied probability that s1mple will not retire by June 30, driven by his sustained activity on the BC.Game roster after departing Natus Vincere in mid-2025. Recent CS2 tournament showings, including frustration in BC.Game's opening-round upset loss to The MongolZ at PGL Bucharest on April 4 and elimination from the Roman Imperium Cup in mid-March, highlight individual fragging prowess amid team struggles that eliminated Major contention hopes. No injury concerns or official announcements have surfaced, with s1mple confirming ongoing practices with the renewed lineup in January, high salary negotiations exceeding $100k monthly, and event attendance like PGL Cluj-Napoca in February underscoring commitment despite tier-2 meta challenges and roster inconsistencies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred.

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports.

The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$633
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 6:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 87.9% implied probability that s1mple will not retire by June 30, driven by his sustained activity on the BC.Game roster after departing Natus Vincere in mid-2025. Recent CS2 tournament showings, including frustration in BC.Game's opening-round upset loss to The MongolZ at PGL Bucharest on April 4 and elimination from the Roman Imperium Cup in mid-March, highlight individual fragging prowess amid team struggles that eliminated Major contention hopes. No injury concerns or official announcements have surfaced, with s1mple confirming ongoing practices with the renewed lineup in January, high salary negotiations exceeding $100k monthly, and event attendance like PGL Cluj-Napoca in February underscoring commitment despite tier-2 meta challenges and roster inconsistencies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred.

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports.

The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$633
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 6:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will s1mple retire by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 12% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 12¢, the market collectively assigns a 12% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will s1mple retire by June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 2, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will s1mple retire by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will s1mple retire by June 30?" is 12% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 12% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will s1mple retire by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.